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Bitcoin is trading near 66,000 on the four-hour chart, attempting to stabilize after retreating from the recent high near 79,000. Price action remains capped below the 0.382 Fibonacci level around 72,800 and the 0.5 midpoint resistance, reflecting a cautious short-term bias despite the recent technical rebound. Upside focus stands on a sustained break above 72,800, which could expose 75,000 and potentially the 78,000–80,000 resistance confluence near the 0.618 Fibonacci level. On the downside, failure to hold above 65,000 may renew selling pressure toward 62,500 and 60,000, with broader direction hinging on price stability within the 64,000–70,000 range.
I see Bitcoin’s decline to $66,000 not as a structural breakdown, but rather as a reflection of the fragile balance between liquidity and leverage in a turbulent macro environment, with direction remaining contingent on holding above the $64,000–$65,000 range to regain momentum or risk a deeper correction before any renewed upside attempt.
BTCUSD is moving on the four-hour timeframe within a sideways range with a bearish bias following a corrective wave from the recent peak near the 79,000 area. The price failed to hold above the 0.382 Fibonacci level around 72,800, reinforcing selling pressure and pushing trading back below the long-term descending moving average. The price structure shows a sequence of lower highs, while remaining below the key 0.5 pivot zone, reflecting the continuation of short-term negative momentum unless a clear breakout occurs accompanied by strong buying momentum.
The chart also shows the formation of a complex corrective pattern (A-B-C), followed by a bearish extension toward the recent low near 60,000, before a technical rebound supported by oversold conditions on the RSI, which recovered from below 30 to above 50. This supports the possibility of continued upside toward 72,800, followed by a potential retest of the 78,000–80,000 area, where horizontal resistance converges with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. However, as long as price remains below 68,500, the scenario of revisiting the recent lows remains valid.
If the price manages to hold above 72,800 on a four-hour closing basis, we could see bullish acceleration toward 75,000 and then 78,000. Conversely, failure and a drop back below 65,000 would restore negative momentum and open the way toward 62,500 and then 60,000 as key support levels. The short-term trend shows signs of improvement, conditional on breaking the dynamic resistance, while a break below the recent low would confirm the resumption of the medium-term downtrend.
Supports: 60,000 – 62,500 – 65,000
Resistances: 72,800 – 75,000 – 78,000.
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Linh Tran
Market Analyst
Linh Tran is a member of the Market Analysis team at XS.com, holding a Master’s degree and with experience in the financial markets since 2018. She focuses on macroeconomic analysis, central bank policies, and multi-asset markets including forex, commodities, equities, and cryptocurrencies, delivering structured and data-driven market insights.
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas and may not reflect those of the Company. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. XS, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same. Our platform may not offer all the products or services mentioned.
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