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Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a clear consolidation phase after a strong rally followed by a sharp correction. Price action shows the formation of higher lows, signaling that the broader bullish structure remains intact despite short-term pressure. Currently hovering near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, gold is testing a critical equilibrium zone between buyers and sellers. Resistance near 5100 continues to cap upside momentum, while holding above the rising trendline and the 4820 support keeps the positive outlook valid. Momentum indicators suggest near-term consolidation, with a potential bullish breakout if resistance is decisively cleared.
Gold (XAU/USD) is moving within a clear consolidation phase following a strong rally that was succeeded by a sharp correction. The price has managed to gradually form a rising technical structure by printing higher lows, reflecting continued attempts to regain positive momentum. The chart shows that price is currently trading near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which represents an important equilibrium zone between buyers and sellers. In my view, the ability of price to hold above this level indicates the presence of genuine demand and suggests that the broader uptrend has not fully lost momentum, but is instead undergoing a consolidation phase before the next move.
Gold’s current consolidation reflects a healthy pause, and sustained support above key levels keeps the broader bullish trend intact.
Gold is consolidating after a strong rally and corrective move.
Holding above the 0.5 Fibonacci level signals underlying demand.
Resistance at 5100 remains the key barrier to further upside.
A break above resistance may target 5300–5400.
A drop below 4820 could trigger a deeper, temporary correction.
17.02.2026 - XAUUSD – Gold - Chart powered by TradingView. Charts are for educational and illustrative purposes only and may differ from live trading prices on our platform.
Disclaimer: The chart reflects the analyst's opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Seek independent advice before making decisions.
At the same time, gold is facing a pivotal resistance zone near the 5100 level, which has proven its strength multiple times by preventing further upside continuation. This level represents an important psychological and technical barrier, and a clear daily close above it could open the door for a move toward higher targets, potentially extending into the 5300–5400 range. However, failure to break above this area may result in continued sideways movement or a retest of lower support levels. In my view, the current price action reflects a conflict between the continuation of the medium-term bullish trend and short-term corrective pressures, with a slight advantage favoring buyers as long as price remains above the rising moving average.
On the other hand, the Stochastic momentum indicator is showing a downward movement from neutral territory, suggesting that corrective pressure may persist in the short term before any renewed bullish attempt. Nevertheless, the price holding above the ascending trendline and the 4820 level reinforces the scenario of continued positive direction. In my assessment, the most likely scenario is continued consolidation within a defined range, with the potential for a bullish breakout later if price regains momentum and surpasses the key resistance level. A break below 4820, however, could temporarily alter the technical outlook and trigger a deeper correction before the broader uptrend resumes.
Resistance: 5100 – 5300 – 5400
Support: 4889 – 4820 – 4700
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Rania Gule
Market Analyst
A market analyst and member of the Research Team for the Arab region at XS.com, with diplomas in business management and market economics. Since 2006, she has specialized in technical, fundamental, and economic analysis of financial markets. Known for her economic reports and analyses, she covers financial assets, market news, and company evaluations. She has managed finance departments in brokerage firms, supervised master's theses, and developed professional analysis tools.
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas and may not reflect those of the Company. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. XS, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same. Our platform may not offer all the products or services mentioned.
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