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Gold is experiencing a strong rise driven by escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, boosting safe-haven demand. The price has broken above the $5,300 level, turning the previous consolidation range into a key support, with short-term bullish momentum continuing. Technical indicators suggest a possible limited correction before resuming the climb toward $5,420–$5,600. Conversely, a break below $5,300 could open the door to lower support tests at $5,118–$4,970. Overall, gold remains a mirror of geopolitical risks and global tensions, with the uptrend expected to continue unless political conditions change significantly.
Gold now clearly reflects a global risk repricing; as long as it stays above $5,300, the uptrend remains likely, with the potential to reach new highs if safe-haven demand continues.
The four-hour chart for the gold–dollar pair (XAU/USD) shows a clear uptrend, supported by a series of higher highs and higher lows, reflecting sustained short-term bullish momentum. The price is currently trading near $5,370 after a strong surge that broke through the previous consolidation range around $5,200–$5,250, confirming this zone as a key support. The upward-moving moving average (shown in white) further supports the trend, as the price remains comfortably above it, indicating buyers are in control.
In terms of momentum, the Stochastic indicator shows a slight pullback from overbought levels, suggesting a possible limited correction or short-term sideways movement before resuming the uptrend. As long as the price stays above $5,300, the bullish scenario remains likely, with a potential retest of the recent high near $5,420. A sustained breakout above this level could open the way toward $5,550 and $5,600, especially if buying momentum continues.
Conversely, a break below $5,300 could push the price to test support at $5,250 and then the more critical zone around $5,118, representing a clear horizontal support on the chart. Breaching this level could trigger a deeper correction toward $4,970–$4,950 near the moving average. Nevertheless, the overall trend on the four-hour chart remains bullish unless $4,900 is decisively broken.
Resistance Levels: $5,420 – $5,550 – $5,600
Support Levels: $5,300 – $5,118 – $4,970.
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Linh Tran
Market Analyst
Linh Tran is a member of the Market Analysis team at XS.com, holding a Master’s degree and with experience in the financial markets since 2018. She focuses on macroeconomic analysis, central bank policies, and multi-asset markets including forex, commodities, equities, and cryptocurrencies, delivering structured and data-driven market insights.
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas and may not reflect those of the Company. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. XS, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same. Our platform may not offer all the products or services mentioned.
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