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News and Analysis Intermediate

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Trading Below EMA50–EMA100 as Bearish Pressure Persists

Date Icon 25 February 2026
Review Icon Written by: Linh Tran
Time Icon 3 minutes read

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Article Summary

On the H4 timeframe, EUR/USD maintains a bearish structure, forming lower highs since the 1.2080 peak. The pair is currently trading below both the EMA50 and EMA100, signaling that selling pressure remains dominant. The 1.1765–1.1775 area serves as a key support zone; if it holds, a technical rebound toward 1.1800–1.1870 may unfold. Conversely, a break below 1.1765 could trigger further downside toward 1.1700 or lower.

EUR/USD remains under short-term pressure as price continues to trade below key EMAs and the descending trendline. However, the 1.1765–1.1775 zone is crucial in determining whether the pair can stabilize or extend its downside momentum.

On the H4 timeframe, EUR/USD continues to maintain a short-term bearish structure as the pair has consistently formed lower highs since peaking around 1.2080. The descending trendline drawn from the late-January high remains a dynamic resistance, with recent recovery attempts being rejected upon approaching this area.

Currently, price is fluctuating around the 1.1775–1.1780 zone, trading below both the EMA50 and EMA100, indicating that downside momentum still prevails. At the same time, the pair is testing the immediate support area between 1.1765 and 1.1775. If this zone holds, EUR/USD would establish a higher low (1.1765–1.1775) compared to the previous low at 1.1740–1.1750. Such a development could allow the pair to stabilize and potentially stage a technical rebound toward 1.1800, with further resistance seen around 1.1820–1.1870.

Conversely, if EUR/USD breaks below 1.1765, the previous low at 1.1740–1.1750 would likely be retested. A decisive break beneath this support zone could trigger renewed selling pressure toward 1.1700, or even further down to the 1.1670–1.1675 area.

eur-usd-daily-updates

25.02.2026

EURUSD

(Chart powered by TradingView. Charts are for educational and illustrative purposes only and may differ from live trading prices on our platform.)

Disclaimer: The chart reflects the analyst's opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Seek independent advice before making decisions

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Linh Tran

Linh Tran

Market Analyst

Linh Tran is a member of the Market Analysis team at XS.com, holding a Master’s degree and with experience in the financial markets since 2018. She focuses on macroeconomic analysis, central bank policies, and multi-asset markets including forex, commodities, equities, and cryptocurrencies, delivering structured and data-driven market insights.

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