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USDJPY continues to maintain its recovery structure on the H4 timeframe after forming a low around 155.0 and moving higher within an ascending channel. Price is currently trading around 159.4–159.5, staying above the H4 EMA and supported by the RSI around 62. However, the upward move is slowing near the 159.6–159.8 supply zone, just below the psychological 160 mark. If USDJPY breaks decisively above 159.8–160.0, the pair could move toward 160.3–160.7. Conversely, if price is rejected, it may correct toward 159.0–159.2, or deeper toward 158.5–158.8.
On the H4 timeframe, USDJPY continues to maintain its recovery structure after forming a low around the 155.0 area and moving higher within an ascending channel.
USDJPY continues to maintain its recovery trend on the H4 timeframe as price holds above the 159.0 support area and the H4 EMA around 159.30. However, the 159.6–160.0 region remains a key resistance zone, where selling pressure and market caution could increase. Only a clear break above the 160 level would give the pair a stronger basis to extend its upside move toward 160.3–160.7.
The pair is currently trading around 159.4–159.5, staying above the H4 EMA near 159.30, which suggests that upside momentum remains intact. The H4 RSI is also around 62, indicating that buying pressure still dominates, although the pair has not yet entered a strongly overbought condition.
However, the current upward move is showing signs of slowing as USDJPY approaches the nearby supply zone around 159.6–159.8. This is an area where price has reacted several times in the short term, while also sitting just below the psychological resistance level of 160.0. The fact that price has not yet broken clearly above this zone suggests that selling pressure and market caution are starting to emerge, especially as intervention risk from Japan increases when the exchange rate moves closer to the 160 region.
If USDJPY breaks decisively above the 159.8–160.0 area, bullish momentum could extend toward the higher supply zone around 160.3–160.7. This would be a stronger resistance area and also a highly sensitive zone from a market sentiment perspective. Conversely, if price continues to be rejected from the 159.6–160.0 region, USDJPY could correct back toward the nearby demand zone around 159.0–159.2. If this area is broken, downside pressure could extend further toward the 158.5–158.8 region.
Overall, the short-term trend for USDJPY still leans to the upside as long as price remains above the 159.0 support area and the H4 EMA. However, the 160 region is a high-risk area, so the current upward move needs to be confirmed by a clear breakout rather than simply fluctuating near resistance.
01.06.2026
USDJPY
(Chart powered by TradingView. Charts are for educational and illustrative purposes only and may differ from live trading prices on our platform.)
Disclaimer: The chart reflects the analyst's opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Seek independent advice before making decisions.
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Linh Tran
Market Analyst
Linh Tran is a member of the Market Analysis team at XS.com, holding a Master’s degree and with experience in the financial markets since 2018. She focuses on macroeconomic analysis, central bank policies, and multi-asset markets including forex, commodities, equities, and cryptocurrencies, delivering structured and data-driven market insights.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas and may not reflect those of the Company. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. XS, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same. Our platform may not offer all the products or services mentioned.
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