Crude Approaches Critical Demand Zone as Bears Take Control - XS
News and Analysis Intermediate

USOIL Technical Update: Crude Approaches Critical Demand Zone as Bears Take Control

Date Icon 25 May 2026
Review Icon Written by: Samer Hasn
Time Icon 3 minutes
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Article Summary

USOIL has plunged sharply on the four-hour chart, breaking below the previous bullish order block between 96.13 and 98.69 after rejection from a descending trend line. The commodity is now testing a lower bullish order block demand area spanning 89.85 to 93.34. A reversal from this zone could trigger a recovery back toward resistance at 96.13 to 98.69. However, a conclusive break below 89.85 will accelerate losses toward the 86.51 Fibonacci level, opening the path for a deeper decline toward the 78.97 to 80.92 zone.
 

A breakdown below the 89.85 mark would accelerate losses toward the 0.236 Fibonacci level at 86.51, with a major extension targeting the deep-discount zone from 78.97 to 80.92.
 

USOIL has broken sharply lower on the four-hour timeframe, slicing the previous bullish order block directly from 96.13 to 98.69. This aggressive plunge follows a steady rejection from the descending trend line, shifting local control completely to the bears.

The crude is currently driving deep into a lower bullish order block (OB) demand area spanning 89.85 to 93.34, where a cluster of selling momentum meets the first significant block of buy orders. Price action is actively testing the lower boundaries of this zone as market participants try to determine whether buyers can stall the descent or if sellers will force a breakdown.

For the upside scenario, the commodity needs to establish a firm base within the bullish order block (OB) demand area from 89.85 to 93.34 and initiate a strong reversal. A successful recovery would push the price back up to retest the broken breaker block between 96.13 and 98.69, which now acts as overhead resistance.

Overcoming that barrier would open the path for buyers to challenge the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 104.09 and the bearish order block (OB) supply area located between 104.62 and 106.77.

On the flip side, the downside scenario will unfold if sellers overwhelm the current defense and push the pair conclusively below the 89.85 mark. Such a breakdown would accelerate losses toward the 0.236 Fibonacci level at 86.51, with a major extension targeting the deep-discount zone from 78.97 to 80.92.

USOIL-250252026

(Chart powered by TradingView. Charts are for educational and illustrative purposes only and may differ from live trading prices on our platform.)

Disclaimer: The chart reflects the analyst's opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Seek independent advice before making decisions.

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Samer Hasn

Samer Hasn

FX Analyst

Samer has a Bachelor Degree in economics with the specialization of banking and insurance. He is a senior market analyst at XS.com and focuses his research on currency, bond and cryptocurrency markets. He also prepares detailed written educational lessons related to various asset classes and trading strategies.  

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